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Ann Thorac Surg 2006;82:1796-1801
© 2006 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons
Charleston Area Medical Center and West Virginia University School of Medicine, Charleston Division, Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery and CAMC Health Education and Research Institute, Charleston, West Virginia
Accepted for publication May 26, 2006.
* Address correspondence to Dr Khan, 1 Portview Drive, Charleston, WV 25311 (Email: jamal.khan{at}camc.org).
| Abstract |
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METHODS: Medical records of 7,731 consecutive patients undergoing heart surgery in a single center were screened for identification of postoperative IAC. One hundred and twenty (120) cases were found. One hundred and six (106) cases were compared with the same number of matched controls.
RESULTS: Significant predictors of the development of IAC were increased cardiopulmonary bypass times (> 99 minutes), peripheral vascular disease, chronic steroid use, and low left ventricular ejection fraction. Patients on postoperative antiplatelet therapy or warfarin had a lower risk of IAC. Significant predictors of mortality in IAC were increased cardiopulmonary bypass times (
120 minutes.), use of inotropes, cerebral vascular disease, and incremental age.
CONCLUSIONS: A subset of patients can be identified who are at higher risk for IAC and an associated adverse outcome. Patients who have prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass, have a low left ventricular ejection fraction, are on steroids, and suffer from other vascular disease should be observed carefully for development of IAC. Postoperative anticlotting strategies may be helpful. Early diagnosis and intervention are essential for improving outcomes in cases of IAC.
| Introduction |
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Gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding, followed by acute pancreatitis, acalculous cholecystitis, peptic disease without bleeding or perforation, perforated ulcer, bowel infarction, diverticulitis, and liver dysfunction are all manifestations of hypoperfusion and response to the stress of surgery. Bowel infarction is the most lethal of all intraabdominal complications. Relative visceral ischemia may result from prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass, vasoconstriction, low cardiac output, maldistribution of perfusion, obstructive splanchnic disease and embolism [7, 11, 14]. Risk factors for intraabdominal complications parallel risk factors for open-heart surgery in general. Advanced age, female gender, renal insufficiency, redo operations, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have all been implicated as significant patient- related risk factors [9, 15, 16]. Other factors mentioned by various authors include use of inotropes, use of intraaortic balloon pump (IABP), atrial fibrillation, preexisting gastrointestinal disease, congestive heart failure (CHF), peripheral vascular disease (PVD), and cerebral vascular disease (CVD). Surgical factors identified in the literature that add to the risk include emergent operations, redo operations, combined procedures, prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass and prolonged aortic cross-clamp times [9, 11, 12, 17]. Postoperative renal failure, bleeding, atrial arrhythmias, low cardiac output, and low left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEF) have also been implicated.
In general, the risk factors emphasized in the literature for IAC are not specific to this particular complication. The current study was undertaken to examine if a predictive model, specific to IAC, could be defined and what lessons could be learned about the management of IAC.
| Patients and Methods |
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Information collected on all patients included age, gender, date of admission and discharge, date and type of procedure, date of diagnosis of the complication, and outcomes at discharge. Original operations included coronary artery bypass graft (CABG), valve repair or replacement, CABG combined with valve surgery, or other concomitant procedures. Use of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) with bypass times, cross-clamp times, redo operation, and use of intraaortic balloon pump were documented. Status at surgery (elective, urgent, emergent, or salvage) according to the Society of Thoracic Surgeons definitions was noted [18].
Comorbid conditions collected included tobacco use, diabetes mellitus (DM), PVD, CVD, COPD, and LVEF by visual or echocardiographic evaluation (Table 1). Postoperative use of heparin, warfarin, inotropes, and antiplatelet therapy was recorded. Also noted were incidents of supraventricular arrhythmias or heparin-induced thrombocytopenia (HIT).
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2 or Fisher exact test and continuous variables were tested by the Student t test. A p value of 0.05 or less was considered significant. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of complications and to calculate propensity scores [19]. The adjusted model included age, gender, comorbidities, and all other patient-related variables (see Table 1 for a complete list). The propensity score (or probability of developing a complication) [20] was used to match each complication case with a no-complication control (1-to-1 match). A match was made when a case and a control had the same five digit propensity score. If not, 4, 3, 2, or 1 digits were used for matching. To determine a successful match, the two new groups (complication cases versus matched no-complication controls) were tested for possible differences. Next, the mortality rates for the two matched groups were compared. And finally, two multivariate logistic regression models were used to determine the independent predictors of mortality: (1) for the original complication cases, and (2) for the matched set of complication cases and controls.
| Results |
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Independent predictors of intraabdominal complications, identified from the multiple logistic regression model of the unmatched sample, included the following: (1) CPB time 100 to 149 minutes (odds ratio [OR]: 1.98; confidence interval [CI]: 1.12 to 3.51; p= 0.018); (2) CPB time 150+ minutes (OR: 1.97; CI: 1.07 to 3.63; p= 0.029); (3) presence of PVD (OR: 1.81; CI: 1.13 to 2.89; p =0.013); (4) an EF of less than 0.50 (OR: 1.64; CI: 1.04 to 2.61; p =0.034); and (5) chronic use of steroids within 30 days prior to the procedure (OR: 5.86; CI: 2.81 to 12.24; p< 0.001). Interestingly, if the patients received antiplatelet therapy or warfarin postoperatively, they were less likely to experience an IAC (OR: 0.40; CI: 0.24 to 0.68; p =0.001 and OR: 0.36; CI: 0.18 to 0.70; p =0.003, respectively) (Table 2).
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Logistic regression was also used to determine independent predictors of mortality for the matched group of patients and controls (Table 5). It was determined that patients whose procedures were performed off pump (OR: 9.90; CI: 1.47 to 65.95; p =0.018) or with CPB time 150 or greater minutes (OR: 4.44; CI: 1.48 to 13.31; p= 0.008) were much more likely to expire. One-year increments in age (OR: 1.06; CI: 1.02 to 1.10; p= 0.006) and the use of intraaortic balloon pumps were found to be associated with increased risk of death (OR: 3.73; 1.54 to 9.01; p =0.003). Antiplatelet therapy and the use of warfarin were found to be possibly protective (OR: 0.10; CI 0.4 to 0.24; p < 0.001 and OR: 0.25; CI 0.07 to 0.93; p= 0.038, respectively).
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| Comment |
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Contrary to other studies we did not find diabetes, cerebral vascular disease, emergency surgery, redo operations, postoperative atrial arrhythmias, preoperative renal insufficiency (creatinine > 2.0 mg/dL), use of intraaortic balloon pump, use of heparin postoperatively, and preoperative length of hospital stay to be significant predictors of IAC (see Table 2).
However, the factors we found to be significant predictors of IAC differed somewhat from other reports and pointed mainly to causes that might reduce splanchnic perfusion and(or) resistance to infection. Patients with a combination of prolonged CPB and depressed left ventricular function in the presence of PVD may be particularly susceptible to abdominal complications. Chronic steroid use had a strong association with occurrence of IAC. Advancing age increased mortality in both the complication and matched control groups.
The influence of the GI tract in the production of multiorgan failure, the usual terminal event in IAC, has been recognized [8]. We found that antiplatelet therapy as well as warfarin had a protective effect on IAC. We feel that these medications may help by preventing platelet aggregation and thrombosis in the presence of depressed cardiac output and(or) advanced vascular disease. Strategies to maintain cardiac output and perfusion pressures in the postoperative period together with antiplatelet therapy may be helpful in the prevention of IAC.
Clearly, prevention and early intervention should be the aims in the management of IAC [9, 18, 21]. A high index of suspicion would lead to early diagnostic and therapeutic measures. Ileus, abdominal distention, tenderness, diarrhea, unexplained metabolic acidosis, and azotemia should lead to prompt investigation for IAC. Endoscopy and abdominal exploration are tolerated well by these patients and should be used without hesitation. Early surgical intervention seems to improve outcomes [7, 9, 11]. Mesenteric angiography and mesenteric infusion with vasodilators [14, 22, 23] have been suggested and may be helpful but should not be allowed to delay prompt surgical intervention. High-risk patients should be advised of the possibility of IAC. With an aging patient population that presents with a higher risk profile it is important that we devote time and resources to understand these complications and develop a comprehensive approach to their prevention and treatment.
We found the incidence (1.5%) and mortality (28.6%) of IAC to be similar to other reported series [1, 5, 9, 16]. Interestingly, after the propensity matching we found that the mortality rate was similar between the complication and the control groups. At first this seems counterintuitive and somewhat difficult to explain. It is possible that this is a true finding because normally IACs develop among patients who are at higher risk for mortality in general. To support this argument, we found the predictors of IAC to be PVD, an EF less than 0.50, chronic steroid use, and longer pump times. This suggests that the IAC patients were at high risk. Thus, when compared with matched patients who have similar risk profiles, it is likely that the mortality rates would be the similar. Furthermore, treatment after a complication would lead to a longer stay but not necessarily higher mortality. That is exactly what we found.
Also, after matching we found mortality risk to be much higher when the procedures were performed off pump. Although not the focus of the current study, this is a curious and unexpected finding. Debate exists in the current literature as to which technique is superior. Perhaps this finding is true, but there are reasons not to put much emphasis on it. The small number of off-pump cases made meaningful analysis difficult as evidenced by the large confidence intervals surrounding the odds ratio for mortality (1.47 to 65.95). However, we do believe that our somewhat unique approach to pump time is worth further consideration. Instead of having two variables, a dichotomized on-off pump variable and a continuous pump time variable (which would have to be set to missing or zero for off pump procedures), one categoric variable can be used.
Limitations
The major limitation of the current study is the retrospective design, which by default contains many limitations and inherent selection bias of a nonrandomized study design. Multivariate analyses and propensity matching were used in an attempt to overcome some of the limitations. These methods can never be a substitute for a randomized study, but often they are more practical, economical, and versatile. However, there are limitations that these methods cannot overcome. The study could only look at a limited number of variables and may have missed some unknown factors.
| References |
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P. C. Austin Propensity-score matching in the cardiovascular surgery literature from 2004 to 2006: a systematic review and suggestions for improvement. J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg., November 1, 2007; 134(5): 1128 - 1135. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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