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Ann Thorac Surg 2004;77:635-642
© 2004 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons


Original article: cardiovascular

Cost analysis of aprotinin for coronary artery bypass patients: analysis of the randomized trials

Peter K. Smith, MDa*, Santanu K. Datta, PhD, MBAb, Lawrence H. Muhlbaier, PhDc, Gregory Samsa, PhDb, Andrea Nadel, PhDd, Joseph Lipscomb, PhDe

a Division of Thoracic Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA
b Duke Center for Clinical Health Policy Research, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA
c Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA
d Bayer Corporation, West Haven, Connecticut, USA
e National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland, USA

Accepted for publication June 23, 2003.

* Address reprint requests to Dr Smith, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Box 3442, Durham, NC 27710, USA.
e-mail: smith058{at}mc.duke.edu


    Abstract
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and methods
 Results
 Comment
 Conclusions
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
BACKGROUND: The full kallikrein-inhibiting dose of aprotinin has been shown to reduce blood loss, transfusion requirements, and the systemic inflammatory response associated with cardiopulmonary bypass graft surgery (CABG). A half-dose regimen, although having a reduced delivery cost, inhibits plasmin and fibrinolysis without substantially effecting kallikrein-mediated inflammation associated with bypass surgery. The differing pharmacologic effects of the two regimens impact the decision-making process. The current study assessed the medical cost offset of full-dose and half-dose aprotinin from short- and long-term perspectives to provide a rational decision-making framework for clinicians.

METHODS: To estimate CABG admission costs, resource utilization and clinical data from aprotinin clinical trials were combined with unit costs estimated from a Duke University–based cost model. Lifetime medical costs of stroke and acute myocardial infarction were based on previous research.

RESULTS: Relative to placebo, the differences in total perioperative cost for primary CABG patients receiving full-dose or half-dose aprotinin were not significant. When lifetime medical costs of complications were considered, total costs in full-dose and half-dose aprotinin-treated patients were not different relative to that of placebo. Total perioperative cost was significantly lower for repeat CABG patients treated with aprotinin, with savings of $2,058 for full-dose and $2,122 for half-dose patients when compared with placebo. Taking lifetime costs of stroke and acute myocardial infarction into consideration, the cost savings estimates were $6,044 for full-dose patients and $4,483 for half-dose patients, due to substantially higher lifetime stroke costs incurred by the placebo patients.

CONCLUSIONS: Using this cost model, use of full-dose and half-dose aprotinin in primary CABG patients was cost neutral during hospital admission, whereas both dosing regimens were significantly cost saving in reoperative CABG patients. Additional lifetime cost savings were realized relative to placebo due to reduced complication costs, particularly with the full-dose regimen. As the full kallikrein-inhibiting dose of aprotinin has been shown to be safe and effective, the current results support its use in both primary and repeat CABG surgery. No demonstrable economic advantage was observed with the half-dose aprotinin regimen.


    Introduction
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and methods
 Results
 Comment
 Conclusions
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
An estimated 314,000 hospital discharges involved coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) procedures in the United States in 2000 [1]. The procedure is associated with significant expense and is targeted by initiatives for reducing health care costs [24]. Patients experiencing significant morbidity and mortality incur significantly greater costs, including laboratory costs, blood bank expenses, and other costs incurred outside of the operating room [3, 4]. In addition, complications such as stroke, myocardial infarction, and death particularly increase the cost of CABG [3, 5, 6].

Aprotinin (Trasylol, Bayer Corporation, West Haven CT), a broad-spectrum serine protease inhibitor that inhibits the systemic inflammatory response associated with cardiopulmonary bypass [7], is widely used in CABG surgery. Prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled trials have consistently demonstrated that full-dose aprotinin reduces blood loss and transfusion requirements associated with CABG surgery [812]. Use of full-dose aprotinin in CABG reduces reoperations for bleeding [13] and has also been reported to be associated with a reduced incidence of stroke [9, 14, 15].

The current investigation assesses the tradeoff between the cost of aprotinin and cost-saving benefits that it may provide for both primary and repeat CABG patients. Two central questions are addressed. First, based on resource utilization data from clinical trials, is aprotinin associated with lower overall medical care costs? Second, does an economic dose-response relationship exist, such that higher aprotinin dose and the resulting increased drug cost alter the economic benefit?

This economic analysis examines cost impact of aprotinin use from both a short- and long-term perspective. The primary analysis addresses the short-term perspective through examining only perioperative costs, defined as those incurred during the hospital admission for CABG. Postoperative lifetime costs, including costs of blood transfusion complications (ie, transfusion-related reaction as well as posttransfusion infection), stroke, and acute myocardial infarction (AMI), were included when addressing the long-term perspective.


    Material and methods
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and methods
 Results
 Comment
 Conclusions
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
Study design
Data on perioperative resource utilization (operating room, intensive care unit [ICU] length of stay, and post-ICU length of stay), complications (reoperation for bleeding, stroke, AMI, and death), and blood product utilization were collected from clinical trials. Perioperative costs for each patient were calculated based upon CABG resource utilization and cost data from the Duke University Medical Center. Lifetime costs associated with stroke and AMI during the perioperative period were estimated from data provided by the Duke Patient Outcomes Research Team (PORT).

Clinical data
All clinical trial data on CABG surgery patients submitted by Bayer Pharmaceuticals Corporation (West Haven, CT) to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) supporting licensure of Trasylol (aprotinin injection) were supplied by Bayer for use in the economic analysis (total, N = 2,057). Data were originally collected in seven prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials evaluating aprotinin use in CABG surgery at 39 sites, from January 1990 to May 1995. Three clinical options were considered: full-dose aprotinin (load, 2,000,000 KIU; pump prime, 2,000,000 KIU; continuous infusion 500,000 KIU/h), half-dose aprotinin (load, 1,000,000 KIU; pump prime, 1,000,000 KIU; continuous infusion 250,000 KIU/h), and placebo. Two trials examined only primary CABG patients [8, 16], two trials included only repeat CABG patients [9, 11], whereas one evaluated primary and repeat CABG [10]. Inclusion criteria included those patients scheduled to have isolated CABG (no valve or combined procedures), male and nonpregnant female gender, more than 18 years of age, and willing and able to give informed consent. Exclusion criteria included patients with a history of bleeding diathesis, known hematological abnormality, those refusing blood transfusion, or allergies to either bovine products or aprotinin. Cardiopulmonary bypass techniques were standard and heparin dosing ranged from 300 to 400 IU/kg. Activated clotting time was determined by an automated heparin-protamine titration device. The indications for red blood cell transfusion were established per protocol (operative, hematocrit 18%; postoperative, 21% to 25%), although allogeneic blood transfusion was allowed at any time if required by the patient's clinical condition. Intra- and postoperative blood conservation techniques and postoperative ICU procedures were those routinely used at each participating institution. Patient demographics, cardiac-specific and general medical history, details of surgery, and adverse event information were collected on standardized case report forms. Data were maintained as SAS data sets and analyzed using SAS software (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).

Patients eligible for safety analysis by trial criteria were used to determine stroke, AMI, and in-hospital death rates, whereas patients eligible for efficacy analysis were used to determine resource utilization rates. Data were pooled across the studies into two mutually exclusive groups of patients, primary CABG and repeat CABG, whose participants received full-dose aprotinin, half-dose aprotinin, or an equal volume placebo (Table 1). Trial participants were assumed to be "exchangeable" statistically within the pooled dataset. The rate of AMI was determined by a blinded central laboratory based on predetermined electrocardiogram (ECG) and enzyme results for patients from selected studies (primary CABG: full-dose aprotinin, n = 578; half-dose aprotinin, n = 173; placebo, n = 594; repeat CABG: full-dose aprotinin, n = 68; half-dose aprotinin, n = 68; placebo, n = 67) [16]. Stroke was clinically identified by the investigator as a new persistent neurologic deficit occurring during hospitalization or any follow-up period required by protocol. Actual reports of stroke ranged from the day of surgery to 20 days after surgery (70% before day 4, 90% before day 10).


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Table 1. Sample Sizes of Aprotinin Clinical Trials

 
Resource costs
The cost analysis, conducted from the payer perspective, included only direct medical costs associated with CABG and its complications in 2001 dollars. Perioperative costs for each patient were estimated from resource utilization data in conjunction with a CABG cost multivariable regression model based on complete resource utilization and cost data from 1,300 patients undergoing CABG without catheterization at the Duke University Medical Center from 1994 to 1997. Total cost calculated by the model was a function of CABG type, resources consumed (routine and ICU length-of-stay, blood products used, operating room time, demographics [gender and age], and complications [reoperation for bleeding, postoperative stroke, postoperative AMI, or in-hospital death]). The total cost for hospitalization, study drug, and lifetime cost reflect resource acquisition cost and allocations of fixed institutional cost and indirect institutional costs derived from the Duke University Medical Center cost accounting system (see Appendix). The average cost of aprotinin was calculated by multiplying the total unit cost of aprotinin incurred by Duke University Medical Center ($2.25/mL) by the mean volume of aprotinin administered (full-dose aprotinin: 1-mL test dose, 200-mL pump prime, 200-mL load, 50-mL/h continuous infusion during surgery; half-dose aprotinin: 1-mL test dose, 100-mL pump prime, 100-mL load, 25-mL/h continuous infusion during surgery). The additional lifetime cost of an ischemic stroke was assessed by the Stroke Prevention PORT at Duke [17] and was estimated to be $87,393 in 2001 dollars (see Appendix); all but one of the strokes observed in the clinical trial cohort were ischemic strokes. The additional lifetime cost of AMI, estimated using the same strategy and data sources as for ischemic stroke, resulted in a cost estimate for each AMI of $28,480 in 2001 dollars (see Appendix). The lifetime cost of CABG was estimated as the sum of perioperative hospital cost, aprotinin cost, and estimated additional lifetime costs after hospital discharge associated with stroke and AMI.

Data analysis
For each resource unit (ie, blood product type, time in surgery, ICU length of stay, and post-ICU length of stay) analysis of variance based on ranked data for blood product usage was used to test the null hypothesis that usage was the same across the treatment arms. The Mantel-Haenszel statistic or Fisher's exact test was used to test whether differences in complication occurrences between treatment arms were statistically significant depending on the distribution of sample sizes. When incorporating the cost of complications into total perioperative and lifetime medical costs, costs were added according to rates observed in the clinical trials, regardless of whether those rates had statistically significant differences between arms.


    Results
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and methods
 Results
 Comment
 Conclusions
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
Demographics
Subjects were mostly men, ranging from 85% to 91% across the treatment arms. Ages ranged from 33 to 89 years, with a mean of 61.5 to 63.7 years across the groups. Demographic characteristics (history of AMI, acute unstable angina, coronary artery disease, hypertension, type 2 diabetes, congestive heart failure, cardiac arrest, as well as high risk for myocardial infarction, previous aspirin use, distribution of New York Heart Association classification, female gender, and white race) were similar between treatment groups for primary and repeat CABG. Within the repeat CABG population, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was significantly more common among placebo (17.5%) than high-dose aprotinin patients (10.2%); within the primary CABG group, left ventricular ejection fraction less than 50% was more prevalent in half-dose aprotinin patients (37.4%) compared with placebo (23.9%), and greater patient weight (by 1.7 kg) was observed in control patients relative to those treated with full-dose aprotinin.

Resource utilization
With few exceptions, patients who received aprotinin consumed fewer resources than did placebo patients. The mean units of blood products, time in CABG surgery, postoperative ICU length of stay, and post-ICU length of stay are presented in Table 2. A significant and dose-dependent reduction in transfusion requirements was observed for patients administered aprotinin relative to placebo. In both primary and repeat CABG procedures, compared with placebo, administration of full-dose aprotinin was associated with a significant reduction of time in surgery. The shorter ICU length of stay observed in the full-dose aprotinin group was not significant relative to that of placebo. The effect of half-dose aprotinin on time in surgery and ICU length of stay was inconsistent among primary and repeat procedures. No significant differences in post-ICU length of stay were observed among the groups.


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Table 2. Resource Utilization

 
Complication rates
Rates of reoperation, stroke, AMI, and in-hospital death are shown in Table 3. Among primary and repeat CABG patients, those who received either full-dose or half-dose aprotinin had a significantly lower rate of reoperation as compared with placebo patients. The reduction in stroke rate for both doses of aprotinin was not statistically significant in primary CABG patients. Three of the 12 primary CABG placebo stroke patients died in the hospital, whereas none of their aprotinin stroke counterparts died in the hospital. Full-dose aprotinin administration in repeat CABG patients was associated with a significantly lower rate of stroke than that observed in placebo patients. The difference observed in patients treated with half-dose aprotinin was marginally not significant (p = 0.06). Two of the 9 repeat CABG placebo stroke patients died, and 1 of 2 half-dose aprotinin stroke patients died. No significant differences in AMI rates between primary or repeat CABG patients receiving full-dose aprotinin and placebo were observed. Whereas the rate of AMI was higher for patients treated with half-dose aprotinin than placebo, these data were not statistically significant. Among primary CABG patients who had AMI, a smaller proportion of patients who received aprotinin died in the hospital; although this was also the case for full-dose repeat CABG patients, it was not the case for half-dose patients. AMI rates for repeat CABG patients should be interpreted with caution because they are based on smaller sample sizes. Whereas no significant differences in death rates among primary and repeat CABG patients for full-dose versus placebo were observed, a slightly higher proportion of half-dose patients who died in comparison with the other treatment arms was noted. Most of these findings are consistent with those in a comprehensive meta-analysis by Munoz and associates [18] and with a previously published direct analysis of the pooled multicenter trial data [14].


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Table 3. Complication Rates

 
Economic analysis
Estimated perioperative and lifetime costs of CABG are shown in Table 4. For primary CABG patients, aprotinin total costs were $1,255 for full-dose and $637 for half-dose. The costs for reoperative CABG patients were $1,394 and $703, respectively. The differences in cost between surgery type (and the fact that full dose costs less than twice half dose) reflect differences in operating time and therefore aprotinin dose. These costs reflect the direct cost of drug acquisition as well as the cost of administration and applicable institutional overhead, and were developed in exactly the same manner as all other resource cost utilized in the cost model. Although the placebo groups also had blinded infusions of normal saline, no additional cost was allocated for the research-related expense.


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Table 4. Estimated Perioperative Costs of CABG Admissions by Treatment Group

 
For perioperative costs, similar mean cost estimates for primary CABG were observed for patients treated with full-dose and half-dose aprotinin, and both aprotinin treatment group estimates were significantly lower than that of placebo. With the additional cost of aprotinin factored into the total perioperative cost estimate for primary CABG, half dose and full dose were -$173 and $343 relative to placebo, respectively. None of these cost differences achieved statistical significance. Within the repeat CABG group, patients treated with aprotinin were estimated to have significantly lower perioperative costs compared with placebo. When the incremental cost of aprotinin was taken into consideration for repeat CABG patients, full-dose and half-dose aprotinin remained significantly cost saving (full-dose aprotinin, -$2,058; half-dose aprotinin, -$2,122) compared with placebo. This observation is similar to that reported previously by Ray and associates [19].

Results from the lifetime cost analysis for full-dose aprotinin, half-dose aprotinin, and placebo CABG patients are also listed in Table 4. For primary CABG, the estimated per-patient incremental lifetime cost due to stroke for the full-dose, half-dose, and placebo cohort is $1,006, $930, and $1,520, respectively. The incremental lifetime costs due to stroke for primary CABG patients who received a full- and half-dose of aprotinin are $514 and $590 less, respectively, than for placebo patients. For repeat CABG the estimated per-patient incremental lifetime costs due to stroke for the full-dose, half-dose, and placebo cohort are $508, $1,295, and $4,444, respectively. The incremental lifetime costs due to stroke for repeat CABG patients who received a full- and half-dose of aprotinin are $3,936 and $3,149 less, respectively, than for that of placebo patients.

For primary CABG, the estimated per patient incremental lifetime costs due to AMI for the full-dose, half-dose and placebo cohort are $1,084, $1,811, and $1,099, respectively. The incremental lifetime costs due to AMI for primary CABG patients were $15 lower for full-dose and $712 higher for half-dose aprotinin when compared with placebo. For repeat CABG patients, the estimated per-patient incremental lifetime costs due to AMI were $3,351 for full-dose aprotinin patients, $4,188 for half-dose aprotinin patients, and $3,401 for placebo patients.

The total lifetime CABG cost is the sum of the total perioperative CABG cost, the cost of aprotinin, and the total lifetime stroke and AMI complication costs for each treatment arm. For primary CABG patients, the estimated total lifetime costs were $27,551 for full-dose patients, $27,685 for half-dose patients, and $27,737 for placebo patients. The total lifetime CABG costs were $186 lower for full-dose patients and $51 lower for half-dose patients than placebo patients. For repeat CABG patients, the estimated total lifetime costs were $32,711 for full-dose patients, $34,272 for half-dose patients, and $38,755 for placebo patients. The total lifetime CABG costs were $6,044 lower for full-dose patients and $4,483 lower for half-dose patients than placebo patients. The lower total lifetime costs among repeat CABG patients who received either dose of aprotinin are significant relative to that of placebo.


    Comment
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and methods
 Results
 Comment
 Conclusions
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
The present evaluation estimated the cost offset of aprotinin therapy by modeling CABG patient demographics, cost and resource utilization from the Duke University Medical Center, and demographic and clinical data from the Trasylol (aprotinin injection) clinical trial database. The two FDA-approved dosing regimens for aprotinin as well as both primary and reoperative CABG were studied. The results indicate that in primary CABG procedures, the additional cost of either dose of aprotinin does not result in a statistically discernable increase in the cost of the average CABG hospital admission. In repeat CABG, significant cost savings were demonstrated for patients administered full-dose ($2,058) and half-dose ($2,122) aprotinin. Overall, these data indicate that in CABG surgery, the cost of aprotinin is offset by a reduction of perioperative in-hospital costs. This offset is substantially and significantly greater for reoperative coronary surgery patients.

The incremental in-hospital complication costs were small, contributing $80 or $330 to total perioperative cost depending on treatment arm. The incremental lifetime costs of the complications were substantial, adding approximately 10% to the total cost of primary CABG and 25% to the cost of reoperative CABG for placebo patients.

In primary CABG patients, the full-dose regimen resulted in further cost savings compared with placebo primarily due to the difference in the incidence of stroke without a difference in the incidence of AMI. For half-dose patients, the lifetime cost savings from the difference in the incidence of stroke were offset by an increase in lifetime costs for AMI. Both regimens remained cost neutral with the additional consideration of lifetime cost.

In reoperative CABG patients, the full-dose regimen more substantially reduced lifetime cost compared with placebo again primarily due to stroke reduction without a difference in the incidence of AMI. For half-dose patients, the savings due to stroke reduction were partially eroded by an increased cost of AMI compared with placebo. Both regimens produced additional cost savings when lifetime costs were considered.

Although cost analyses of aprotinin use in CABG have been reported previously, the current investigation is unique in evaluating costs in a large cohort administered full-dose or half-dose aprotinin, in both primary and repeat CABG. Pharmacoeconomic studies evaluating half-dose aprotinin in high-risk patients undergoing cardiopulmonary bypass have reported cost savings relative to no aprotinin [20], full-dose aprotinin [19], and other antiinflammatory strategies [21]. These past evaluations were not as comprehensive as the present analysis, incorporating only costs for blood products, in addition to costs for length of stay [1921], operative time [19, 20], reoperation for bleeding [19], and hospital charges [21]. In a consecutive cohort of open heart surgery patients treated with no, half-dose, or full-dose aprotinin, investigators reported that although both aprotinin doses reduced blood product use and operating room time, half-dose resulted in a significant cost savings relative to no aprotinin [22]. In repeat CABG patients, investigators reported that blood costs for patients treated with full-dose aprotinin were greater than for those treated with epsilon aminocaproic acid, and suggested that half-dose aprotinin may provide a significant cost advantage [23]. The current analysis, by evaluating all significant resource-use predictors including complications in a multivariable mode, and by considering the lifetime impact of in-hospital events, resolves many of the limitations of these previous studies. Interestingly, a recent report on cost modeling from the United Kingdom described the impact of aprotinin use in CABG surgery from the perspective of lost opportunity, reporting that aprotinin use reduced costs directly by decreasing transfusion requirements, and indirectly by reducing waiting time for the procedure [24].

Limitations
As with most clinical trials before the mid-1990s, cost information was not gathered when the aprotinin clinical trials were conducted. The initial strategy for this cost study, gathering cost data ex-post from nine sites that participated in the clinical trials, also was not feasible, as several important categories of patient costs were omitted, data were missing, and large variations in cost for a given resource were apparent. Instead, the model-based approach was pursued, resulting in a standardized estimate of costs approximating the process of care for CABG patients at medical centers that participated in the clinical trials. As costs were imputed from Duke University Medical Center data, and unit total costs vary among institutions and depend on their respective cost structures, direct extrapolation of results to other institutions may not be possible. However, the general results will be valid for all institutions due to the utilization of a bottom-up cost allocation system (Eclipsys Corp, Boca Raton, FL) to create the model. A second limitation is that some resource utilization in the clinical trials was prescribed by protocol, and thus is not subject to variation resulting from clinical practice. In particular, a mandated minimal hospital length of stay to complete protocols would limit the ability of this primary cost driver to vary between study arms. As the aprotinin study groups generally had fewer complications and fewer transfusions, this limitation would likely artificially add resource use and costs to the aprotinin groups compared with placebo. A third limitation of this study is that estimates of expected lifetime cost of stroke and AMI were based on costs observed in the general elderly population. However, the impact of this limitation is applied across all treatment arms, and any effect on the cost estimates is expected to be minimal on a comparative basis. Similarly, the study is limited in that the procedures were not performed contemporaneously, and interval changes in surgical practice and costs have occurred; however, the results maintain comparability, as all arms should be similarly affected.


    Conclusions
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and methods
 Results
 Comment
 Conclusions
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
During the hospital admission, results from this cost model indicate that the use of aprotinin was cost neutral in primary CABG patients, and significantly cost saving in reoperative CABG patients when compared with placebo. Additional lifetime cost savings were realized compared with placebo, due to reduced complication costs, particularly with the full-dose regimen. As the full kallikrein-inhibiting dose of aprotinin has been shown to be safe and effective, the current results support its use in both primary and repeat CABG surgery. There was no clear economic advantage, based on resource utilization and the complication rates evaluated here (reoperation for bleeding, stroke, AMI, and death), to utilize the half-dose regimen when aprotinin is indicated.


    Acknowledgments
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and methods
 Results
 Comment
 Conclusions
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
This research was supported by funding to Duke University by Bayer Corp (West Haven, CT).


    Appendix
 
The cost modeling approach was based on multivariable regression analysis. Clinical and cost data were gathered for 1,300 patients who received CABG without catheterization between July 1994 and October 1997 at the Duke University Medical Center. Cost data were standardized to 2001 dollars. Although based on Duke University Medical Center data, the cost parameter estimates in the model were based on cost estimates combined with the resource utilization, complications, and demographic data of patients in the clinical trials to impute their total perioperative CABG costs. The approach estimates costs that the clinical trial patients would have incurred had they all received their CABG surgeries at Duke University Medical Center, with the assumption that they would have utilized the same resources at Duke University Medical Center as they were observed to utilize at their respective trial sites.

The model describing the relationship between total perioperative cost (C) and the explanatory variables takes the following general form:

wherein the dependent variable, C, is the total cost a CABG patient incurred at Duke University Medical Center, ß0 is the intercept, ßj is a vector of regression coefficients with j elements, and Xij is a vector of j explanatory variables particular to patient i. The j elements include CABG type, resources utilized, complications, and demographics. Coronary artery bypass graft type indicates whether the patient was a primary or repeat CABG patient. The resource utilization variables included time in the operating room, ICU and room lengths-of-stay that occurred after the CABG operation, and blood products transfused (packed red blood cells, donor platelets, fresh-frozen plasma, plasmaphesis-derived platelets, and cryoprecipitate). Complications are a vector of variables indicating the occurrence of bleeding complications requiring exploratory surgery (ie, reoperation), postoperative stroke, postoperative AMI, and in hospital death. Demographics controlled for age and gender of the patient.

Model-fitting procedures led us to exclude two variables: amount of time anesthesia was administered, and the New York Heart Association function class of the patient. Tests for multicolinearity on the remaining variables discussed above were low to moderate. As usual with cost data, total costs of the Duke University Medical Center patients were not normally distributed. Therefore, the regression model was executed on log-transformed total cost values to normalize the distribution. To untransform the resulting log parameter estimates into nominal dollar values, the smearing technique outlined by Duan was used [25]. Results of the cost regression model are provided in the following table:

Log-Cost Estimates from Regression Model (2001 Dollars)







Independent Variables

Parameter Estimate

p Value


Intercept Demographics 9.4026 <0.0001a
Age -0.0006 0.27
Gender (female = 1) 0.0330 0.004a
Resource Utilization
CABG surgery, per minute 0.0006 <0.0001a
ICU length-of-stay, per hour 0.0014 <0.0001a
Post-ICU length-of-stay, per day 0.0396 <0.0001a
Red blood cells, per unit 0.0190 <0.0001a
Donor platelets, per unit 0.0071 0.0054a
Fresh frozen plasma, per unit 0.0057 0.16
Pheresed platelets, per unit 0.0005 0.95
Cryoprecipitate, per unit 0.0012 0.50
Repeat CABG 0.0316 0.18
Complication
Return to OR for reexploration 0.0858 0.02a
Postoperative stroke 0.1886 <0.0001a
Postoperative AMI 0.0163 0.27
In-hospital death -0.099 0.13
Adjusted r20.74





a Statistically significant difference (p <= 0.05).

Physician cost data were not collected in the trials, nor were they available in the Duke University Medical Center data. Because all patients received a CABG, the cost of performing the surgery was assumed to be the same across treatment arms and thus was not included in the computation of perioperative costs. However, the incremental physician consultation and surgery costs induced by reoperation stroke and AMI were taken into consideration. Medicare physician reimbursement for reexploration for bleeding (CPT 35820) is assigned a relative total value of 18.87, which, with the time-relevant conversion factor, results in the amount of $726. Medicare physician reimbursement for initial inpatient neurological consultation (CPT codes 99251 to 99255) ranged from $46 to $202, and follow-up consultation (CPT codes 99261 to 99263) ranged from $26 to $72, depending on the patient's condition and how comprehensive an exam the patient required. Thus, the physician cost associated with a stroke was estimated to be $173, the sum of the mean initial and follow-up physician consultation costs. Additional physician work was not allocated for the treatment of perioperative AMI, because it was assumed that it was provided by the surgeon as part of the global surgical fee. Physician cost was added to the hospital cost estimated by the regression equation to derive the total incremental cost incurred by reoperation and stroke patients. Preset costs for full-dose and half-dose aprotinin were added to the total cost estimated by the regression model for each treatment arm. It was assumed that the cost of a complication was not significantly influenced by the treatment group.

Downstream cost of stroke
Research from the Stroke Prevention PORT generated age group–, gender-, and race-specific monthly direct costs (discounted at 3%) and survival probabilities for a random 20% sample of Medicare enrollees in 1991 who suffered an ischemic stroke. Respective monthly costs and survival probabilities were multiplied, and the resulting expected monthly costs were then aggregated to derive the expected lifetime direct cost of ischemic stroke patients. The same calculation was also made on a comparison sample of nonstroke individuals to infer their expected lifetime direct cost for health care. The expected lifetime direct cost of the nonstroke individuals was subtracted from the expected lifetime direct cost of ischemic stroke patients to derive the following net expected lifetime direct cost of ischemic stroke patients between the ages of 65 and 69 years (the age bracket providing the closest fit to the age of most subjects in the clinical trials): $55,707 for white males, $54,635 for nonwhite males, $65,991 for white females, and $68,138 for nonwhite females. Cowper and associates estimated that 95% of CABGs performed on Medicare enrollees in 1990 were on whites and 5% were on nonwhites [26]. These gender and race percentages were applied as weights to calculate the aggregate net expected lifetime direct cost of ischemic stroke. Lastly, the 1991 cost estimate of $57,011 was inflated using the medical care component of the CPI to a value of $87,393 in 2001 dollars to derive the net discounted expected lifetime direct cost of ischemic stroke.

Downstream AMI cost
Using a data set containing a 0.3% random sample of all Medicare enrollees for 1991 who had not suffered a stroke, 857 white males, 77 nonwhite males, 866 white females, and 84 nonwhite females between the ages of 65 and 69 years who were hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of AMI were identified. Employing the same incremental cost analysis approach we applied to lifetime stroke costs, we estimated the net expected lifetime direct cost of AMI to be $18,714 for white males, $16,704 for nonwhite males, $19,248 for white females, and $16,929 for nonwhite females. Applying the same gender and race weights employed in the stroke cost calculation, the net discounted expected lifetime direct cost of AMI was estimated to be $28,480 in 2001 dollars.


    References
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and methods
 Results
 Comment
 Conclusions
 Acknowledgments
 References
 

  1. American Heart Association. Heart disease and stroke statistics: 2003 Update. . Dallas, TX: American Heart Association, 2002.
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