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Ann Thorac Surg 2003;75:1066
© 2003 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons
Department of Cardiac Surgery, The Royal Sussex County Hospital, Eastern Rd, Brighton BN2 5BE, UK
e-mail: donaldcwhitaker{at}yahoo.co.uk
To the Editor:
I read with considerable interest the recent review by Collie and associates [1] concerning statistical analysis of cognitive change after coronary artery surgical procedures. It is agreed that the percent change and standard deviation "cutoff" methods of deficit analysis are arbitrary, do not take practice effects into account, and are relatively insensitive, especially as the incidence of cognitive decline has decreased. The main alternative advocated [2], group mean analysis has the flaw of allowing patients who show improvement to mask those whose cognitive status deteriorates even if there is a group to control for regression toward the mean. Further alternatives are clearly required.
It is therefore disappointing that although many potentially superior statistical methods from the neuropsychological and psychiatric literature were illustrated in Table 1 of the review and discussed, little mention was made of the z change score, which was used in a randomized, controlled trial by Arrowsmith and coauthors [3] and an observational study by Steed and colleagues [4] involving patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. Table 1 describes Kneebone and associates [5] as using a "standard deviation index" [(X2 - X1)/µSD1]. However, they actually used the traditional binary standard deviation method, as they converted a score of (X2 - X1)/µSD1 greater than 1 to a deficit and compared this with a reliable change index, which was their main outcome measure.
In contrast, the z score, which is also calculated as (X2 - X1)/µSD1, is not then converted to a deficit or no deficit depending on whether it is greater or less than 1. These scores are left as raw numbers and can then be used to give a mean for each test or the sum of a battery of tests for different groups of patients. This method has the advantage of increased sensitivity because it is a continuous measure without absolute cutoffs, thus giving each individual a score. An additional benefit is that it allows group comparisons, which take into account potential learning effects. Z scores are a recommended way of analyzing cognitive change that should be considered for future studies of cardiac surgical patients.
References
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