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Ann Thorac Surg 2000;69:414
© 2000 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons
Discussion
DR RANDALL B. GRIEPP (New York, NY): I would like to thank the Society for the opportunity to discuss this paper, and Dr Coselli for sending me his manuscript. This is an important paper. It is by far the largest contemporary series of surgical treatment at thoracoabdominal aneurysms. The careful tabulation of the results by Coselli and associates, plus modern statistical techniques, allow one, as they have pointed out, to now calculate risk factors for individual patients facing operation.
This is our equation for risk of rupture of thoracic and thoracoabdominal aneurysms that Dr. Coselli has alluded to, and this is the way we utilize this equation. It is very easy to put it into a PC so you can just plug in patient data and read out a risk of rupture. Dr Cosellis formulae, which are contained in the body of the manuscript, allow one to do exactly the same thing for operative risk. Thus, one can calculate rupture risk and operative risk for an individual patient.
It should be pointed out, however, though that those are Coselli and associates results. It is probably not quite fair for all of us to tell our patients
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