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Ann Thorac Surg 2005;80:1381-1387
© 2005 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons
a Department of Anesthesia, University Health Network
c Division of Cardiovascular Surgery, University Health Network
b Department of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Accepted for publication March 28, 2005.
* Address reprint requests to Dr Karkouti, Department of Anesthesia, 3 Eaton North, Toronto General Hospital, University Health Network, 200 Elizabeth St, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5G 2C4 (Email: keyvan.karkouti{at}uhn.on.ca).
BACKGROUND: The relationship between degree of hemodilution during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) and perioperative stroke has not been fully elucidated. The objective of this observational study was to evaluate the relationship between nadir hematocrit during CPB and perioperative stroke while adjusting for variables known to have an association with stroke and anemia.
METHODS: Perioperative data were prospectively collected on 10,949 consecutive patients who underwent cardiac surgery with CPB from 1999 to 2004 at a quaternary care hospital. Stroke was defined as a persistent neurologic deficit, consistent with a central nervous system lesion, occurring within 30 days of operation. Stroke was classified as perioperative if patients awoke from anesthesia with neurologic symptoms and postoperative if patients awoke without symptoms. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to control for confounding variables to obtain the independent relationship between nadir hematocrit during CPB and perioperative stroke.
RESULTS: The prevalence of perioperative stroke was 1.0% (n = 110). An additional 50 patients had postoperative stroke. Nadir hematocrit during CPB was an independent predictor of perioperative stroke. After controlling for confounding variables, each percent decrease in hematocrit was associated with a 10% increase in the odds of suffering perioperative stroke (95% confidence interval, 4% to 18%; p = 0.002). The model was accurate (c-index = 0.85) and reliable (Hosmer-Lemeshow test p = 0.4).
CONCLUSIONS: There is an independent, direct association between degree of hemodilution during CPB and risk of perioperative stroke. Prospective randomized clinical trials comparing different degrees of hemodilution during CPB are required to determine whether this is a causeeffect relationship or a simple association.
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