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Ann Thorac Surg 2002;74:S1840-S1843
© 2002 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons
a Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA
* Address reprint requests to Dr Miller, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Falk Cardiovascular Research Center, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, 94305-5247, USA.
e-mail: dcm{at}stanford.edu
Presented at the Aortic Surgery Symposium VIII, May 23, 2002, New York, NY.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Controversy continues regarding treatment for patients with acute type B aortic dissection.
METHODS: One hundred eighty-nine patients with acute type B aortic dissection managed over a 36-year period were analyzed retrospectively for three outcome endpoints: survival; freedom from reoperation, and freedom from late aortic-related complications or late death. Risk factors for death were identified using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. Then to account for patient selection bias, heterogeneity of the population, and continuous evolution in techniques, propensity score analysis was used to identify risk-matched cohorts (quintiles I and II) in which the results of medical (n = 111) or surgical (n = 31) therapy were compared more comprehensively.
RESULTS: The two main determinants of death were shock (hazard ratio [HR] = 14.5, 95% confidence level [CL] 4.7, 44.5; p < 0.001) and visceral ischemia (HR = 10.9, 95% CL 3.9, 30.3; p < 0.001). Arch involvement, rupture, stroke, previous sternotomy, and coronary or lung disease roughly doubled the hazard. Female sex was also a significant but weaker independent predictor of death. Actuarial survival estimates for all patients were 71%, 60%, 35%, and 17% at 1, 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively, and were similar for the medical and surgical patients. The Marfan syndrome predicted reoperation and late aortic complications or late death. In a separate analysis of the 142 patients in quintiles I and II, survival, freedom from reoperation, as well as freedom from late aortic complications or death were almost identical in the medical and surgical subsets.
CONCLUSIONS: The poor long-term prognosis of patients with acute type B aortic dissection is determined primarily by dissection-related and patient-specific risk factors, which are not readily modifiable. Whether the outlook in the future will be improved using stent-grafts remains to be determined.
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