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Ann Thorac Surg 2001;72:169-175
© 2001 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons


Original article: cardiovascular

Assessment of mortality rates for congenital heart defects and surgeons’ performance

Jaroslav F. Stark, FRCSa,b, Steve Gallivan, PhDb,c, Katie Davis, MScc, John R.L. Hamilton, FRCSd, James L. Monro, FRCSe, James C.S. Pollock, FRCSf, Kevin G. Watterson, FRCSg a Institute of Child Health, London, London, UK
b Centre for Mathematics and Physics in the Life Sciences and Experimental Biology, University College London, London, UK
c Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, UK
d The Freeman Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
e Wessex Cardiothoracic Centre, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK
f Royal Hospital for Sick Children, Glasgow, Scotland, UK
g United Leeds Teaching Hospitals, Yorkshire Heart Centre, Leeds, United Kingdom

Address reprint requests to Dr Stark, Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children, NHS Trust, London WCIN 3JH, England
e-mail: jarda{at}freeuk.com

Presented at the Thirty-seventh Annual Meeting of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons, New Orleans, LA, Jan 29–31, 2001.

Background. In the absence of reliable national data, we have collected results of all operations for congenital heart defects from five departments to assess mortality rates and compare them among surgeons and departments.

Methods. Data relating to all operations (2,718) carried out at the five centers during a period from April 1, 1997 through March 31, 1999. Clearly defined criteria were agreed for the classification of patients into various subgroups.

Results. The overall hospital mortality was 4.4% (95% confidence intervals 3.7%–5.3%). Mortality for open operations was 12.6% in neonates, 5.1% in infants, and 3.5% in children. Mortality rates were 1.1% for coarctation, 0.4% ventricular septal defect, 4.1% atrioventricular septal defect, 2.9% Fallot, 0.9% switch, and 15.6% truncus arteriosus. Although individual surgeons’ mortality rates ranged from 1.8% to 7.5%, none of the 12 surgeons’ data were above 95% confidence intervals. For individual surgeons, the change in mortality rates between the 2 years ranged between -3.3% and +3.8%.

Conclusions. With 2 years’ data available, estimates of mortality rates are more precise as reflected by tighter confidence intervals. There were relatively small data sets for individual hospitals and surgeons, which made statistical evaluation difficult. For setting standards, data from more departments for a longer period will be required. Statistical methods alone cannot be used as a sole arbiter of what is considered acceptable performance.




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